Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Measuring Statistics: Near and Far

Stats can be deceiving, or that's what they say. 
I have a few thoughts on SDSU's men's players and how they play at home and away. 
For example, I figured Chad White is a better player at home than on the road, while all-world Nate Wolters plays better on the road. Where is Jordan Dykstra a better player?
So, let's go to the stats. I selected SDSU's home, away and neutral location games, along with games where SDSU won or lost. Players with significant playing time are listed here.
All information is from the always reliable sports-reference.com. Go visit their sites. Sorry about the small print. 
3 Wolters, Nate 
Split            Value  G  MP  FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P%  FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Place             Home 12 438  78 164 .476 22  57 .386  71  90  .789  11  54  65  66  27   2  31 16 249
                  Road 12 466 104 206 .505 32  71 .451  69  81  .852  18  54  72  59  16   2  27 22 309
               Neutral  2  64  12  25 .480  2   6 .333   8  11  .727   2   7   9  16   3   0   1  3  34
Split            Value  G  MP  FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P%  FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Result             Win 20 734 140 290 .483 41 102 .402 115 144  .799  21  88 109 117  40   4  46 27 436
                  Loss  6 234  54 105 .514 15  32 .469  33  38  .868  10  27  37  24   6   0  13 14 156 
5 Prince, Taevaunn 
Split            Value  G  MP FG FGA   FG% 3P 3PA  3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Place             Home 11 144 13  35  .371  0   4 .000 21  28  .750  11  12  23   3   4   0   6 10  47
                  Road  9 127 10  33  .303  2   9 .222 11  18  .611   8   8  16   5   3   0  11 22  33
               Neutral  2  60  7  19  .368  1   4 .250  5   9  .556   4   7  11   3   1   0   2  5  20 
12 Carlson, Brayden
Split            Value  G  MP FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Place             Home 13 422 28  83 .337 14  47 .298 30  39  .769   5  42  47  31  13   4   9 20 100
                  Road 13 466 42 103 .408 20  60 .333 15  22  .682   6  41  47  30  10   4  17 24 119
               Neutral  2  62  9  19 .474  6  11 .545  5   6  .833   0   6   6   7   1   0   1  4  29
Split            Value  G  MP FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Result             Win 21 694 55 137 .401 29  78 .372 39  51  .765   8  72  80  53  19   5  17 35 178
                  Loss  7 256 24  68 .353 11  40 .275 11  16  .688   3  17  20  15   5   3  10 13  70  
25 White, Chad 
Split            Value  G  MP FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Place             Home 10 310 35  71 .493 22  47 .468 10  14  .714   8  26  34  16   8   3  13 20 102
                  Road 11 340 28  81 .346 18  59 .305  9  13  .692   8  32  40  10   5   6  14 24  83
               Neutral  2  46  8  15 .533  4   7 .571  2   2 1.000   3   3   6   4   1   1   1  2  22
Split            Value  G  MP FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Result             Win 17 514 60 127 .472 36  80 .450 18  23  .783  15  47  62  26  12   6  21 30 174
                  Loss  6 182 11  40 .275  8  33 .242  3   6  .500   4  14  18   4   2   4   7 16  33 
32 Heemstra, Marcus 

Split            Value  G  MP FG FGA   FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Place             Home 13 154 19  37  .514  0   0     11  14  .786  14  23  37  12   4   6   9 24  49
                  Road 13 148 14  28  .500  0   0     11  12  .917  13  20  33  11   3   5  10 20  39
               Neutral  2  31  9  11  .818  0   0      2   3  .667   7   4  11   2   2   2   0  2  20
34 Fiegen, Tony 
Split            Value  G  MP  FG FGA   FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Place             Home 13 396  67 109  .615  0   0     20  32  .625  35  45  80  20   6   3  16 23 154
                  Road 13 431  48 103  .466  0   0     16  23  .696  22  44  66  17   6   4  16 23 112
               Neutral  2  34   6   8  .750  0   0      0   0         1   9  10   3   0   0   4  4  12
Split            Value  G  MP  FG FGA   FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Result             Win 21 626  96 164  .585  0   0     30  45  .667  47  80 127  35   9   4  25 38 222
                  Loss  7 235  25  56  .446  0   0      6  10  .600  11  18  29   5   3   3  11 12  56 
42 Dykstra, Jordan
Split            Value  G  MP  FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Place             Home 13 417  67 142 .472 24  45 .533 39  52  .750  28  88 116  23   6   9  26 32 197
                  Road 13 415  49 119 .412 20  53 .377 18  22  .818  26  60  86  14  10   9  28 36 136
               Neutral  2  52   6  14 .429  2   5 .400  1   2  .500   1  10  11   4   0   0   0  4  15
Split            Value  G  MP  FG FGA  FG% 3P 3PA  3P% FT FTA   FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
Result             Win 21 657 100 211 .474 38  78 .487 46  63  .730  35 131 166  35  11  12  41 56 284
                  Loss  7 227  22  64 .344  8  25 .320 12  13  .923  20  27  47   6   5   6  13 16  64
--
The takeaways: 
• Look at the difference in the performances from Dykstra and White in losses. 
• Granted, SDSU lost those games for reasons that go beyond those two but it shows how 
   important those two are to the operation.
• Fiegen is a much better shooter at home, converting 15 percent more shots in home games. 
• Heemstra is scary consistent in his game. This is a good sign going forward for SDSU. 
• Carlson has better numbers in road games and even better in the two neutral games this year. He has
  14 games this year where he's scored 10 or more points and five of those have come in Brookings. 
• Wolters' numbers are pretty nuts in both losses and on the road, shooting 29 percent better away from Frost. 

Sometimes your hunch can lead to something after all. 
--
High frequency of basketball posts because there's lots to talk about. If you have an idea, drop me a line in the various mediums to reach a 21-year old college kid. 

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